LA Examiner

Author: William Mullane

  • Los Angeles Housing Market Rose $202 Billion in the Past Year, Zillow Says

    Los Angeles Housing Market Rose $202 Billion in the Past Year, Zillow Says

    Image credit: Unsplash

    While real estate becomes increasingly expensive in every area, Los Angeles prices are soaring to unexpected heights. The numbers recently released by Zillow are signaling a meaningful rise in the housing market, making the public take notice. 

    According to Zillow’s latest report, the estimated value of the housing market in the L.A. metro area was up $202 billion in the last year alone. That number represents the sum of Zilow’s estimates for every house on the market in a given area. The area’s total value was reportedly $3.7 trillion, rising 38% over the past three years.

    In August 2023 alone, the average price of a home in Los Angeles County was up a shocking 4.2%, according to the California Association of Realtors. 

    “While a small chunk of this growth can be attributed to a 1.3% rise in the average value of a U.S. home over the past year, the powerhouse behind this surge has been new construction,” Zillow senior economist Orphe Divounguy stated. The trend may span the United States, but the spike in Los Angeles County is out of the ordinary. 

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    Orphe Divounguy stated, “Builders have chipped away at the housing deficit as a steady flow of new homes have hit the market this spring and summer.” As households grow at rapid rates that outpace the nation’s housing stock, we continue to get a clearer picture of why prices have risen in such a stark and astonishing fashion. 

    Approximately 6.3 million units were constructed between 2015 and 2021. Unfortunately, that number couldn’t keep up with the 7.1 million new households created then. There is a solution on the table, according to Divounguy, as controversial as it may be. Creating “higher-density homes wherever possible to work around increased costs and bring desperately needed units to the market” seems to be the current action plan.

    However, implementing this current method is more complex than one might expect. “Obstacles remain to new construction in many parts of the country,” he added. “Measures that allow for more density and increase buildable land would help.” Instead of pending legislation, work is being done to remedy the issue. 

    With such a significant rise over a short period, analysts are considering future moves the market will make. If we’re looking at a continuous increase in prices and evaluations, the housing market could easily reach unprecedented heights. $202 billion over one year is extraordinary, and even if no steep increases occur shortly, the market is in a strong position. 

    Still, more work needs to be done to accommodate the housing market’s demand today. New measures will need to be required if the pace of growth will catch up with the number of households developing in the future. We’ll keep an eye on the next steps the market takes, how the evaluation of Los Angeles County real estate operates, and see how next year compares to this one.

  • Mansion Bonus: Bag a Bentley When You Buy a Hollywood Estate in LA’s New Mansion Tax Era

    Mansion Bonus: Bag a Bentley When You Buy a Hollywood Estate in LA’s New Mansion Tax Era

    Image credit: Unsplash

    Luxury homes in Los Angeles are up for grabs, with mansion owners getting extremely creative with their sales tactics. Picture this: a majestic manor plus a gratis luxury vehicle to cruise the glitzy boulevards.

    As the clock ticks toward the enactment of Measure ULA on April Fools’ Day, purveyors of LA’s swankiest dwellings scramble to entice buyers with irresistible markdowns and closing boons. Dubbed the “mansion tax,” the measure aims to bankroll affordable housing by imposing heftier levies on home sales exceeding $5 million. Property sales exceeding $5 million and homes over $10 million will attract a 4% transfer tax and a 5.5% tax, respectively.

    Los Angeles City’s homeless situation has recently worsened, with people building tents in parks, sidewalks, and under freeways. Following a rigorous campaign by housing advocates and labor unions to get Measure ULA on the ballot, it was approved with 57% of the vote in November 2022. The tax’s backers previously projected that it could raise $1.1 billion for affordable housing projects, but last week, the city reduced that forecast to $672 million.

    Desperate to beat the taxman’s deadline, real estate impresarios are devising all manner of inventive inducements. In one instance, an exquisite Bentley dangles like a shimmering carrot to beguile potential buyers. Since the seller must pay the tax, individuals with houses on the market use all possible measures to encourage quick closing.

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    Josh Altman, celebrity realtor and CEO of Altman Brothers Real Estate, explains that these extravagant enticements are, in fact, prudent cost-saving maneuvers once the ULA tax kicks in, offloading these lavish residences will prove even costlier than dispensing decadent perks. “We gave out a one million dollar perk to every realtor who brought a buyer to our properties if we closed the deal by April 1,” he said.

    The ULA supporters perceive that the money collected from the levy would fund affordable housing initiatives and lower the city’s homeless population. The money will also help low-income seniors and increase housing affordability.

    However, many top brokers and realtors oppose the new regulation and believe there may be more effective ways to fund low-income housing efforts. They claimed the tax is ill-advised and has caused a sudden sell-off among the city’s wealthiest homeowners. According to them, there are many available funding programs and more options to get the money than taxing individuals. “Are the programs operating properly? Are they being managed most effectively?” one of the agents asked. 

    Another argument against the tax from the opponents is that since it will be applied to all real estate transfers, including those of commercial and multifamily properties, it might have the unpremeditated consequence of encouraging developers to build homes outside the city limits. “The housing market is in trouble. And we’re discouraging housing developers from building. Therefore, it makes no sense to me at all,” added Mr. McKillen, a luxury agency broker.

    LA’s quest for supplementary tax revenue to combat homelessness is not new. In 2016, the city greenlit a $1.2 billion bond proposal, “Proposition HHH,” earmarked for constructing thousands of affordable housing units. Regrettably, progress has been sluggish. Merely a third of the projected 12,000 units have materialized, while construction costs have skyrocketed. A 2022 audit revealed some units’ expenses surpassing a staggering $800,000.

    Since Proposition HHH’s approval, LA’s homeless population has swelled by a disheartening 45%. As the mansion tax looms, it remains to be seen whether this novel strategy will succeed in its mission to alleviate homelessness or become another well-intentioned but ultimately faltering effort in the City of Angels.